The ICSC Florida 2025 convention brought together more than 4,000 industry professionals in Orlando for three days of deal-making, trend exploration, and networking. The event highlighted Florida’s outsized role in retail, with nearly 1.3 billion square feet of inventory, representing 11% of total U.S. retail space, and accounting for 26% of new supply in the first half of 2025. Statewide vacancies have held below 4% since 2021, reflecting strong demand and limited availability. However, asking rents grew 0.9% in the first half of 2025, more than double the national average, underscoring the state’s resilience and continued outperformance.
Against this backdrop, retail leaders shared forward-looking insights on the evolving marketplace and the industry’s future. Here are 10 key takeaways from ICSC@FLORIDA:
- Rates Remain the Wild Card: Interest rates continue to dictate deal velocity. A modest 25–50 basis points cut could encourage more net lease activity, but spreads and lender caution still constrain capital flows.
- Sales Tax on Commercial Leases Eliminated: Starting October 1, 2025, House Bill 7031 will remove Florida’s sales tax on commercial leases. The policy is expected to save businesses roughly $1.3 billion annually, lower occupancy costs, and enhance the competitiveness of Florida’s retail and commercial markets.
- Florida Continues to Attract Capital: Investors prioritize Florida thanks to population growth, high occupancy, and favorable demographics. Family offices remain especially active, treating Florida as a long-term generational wealth play.
- Buyers and Sellers Are Still Far Apart: Supply of listings is outpacing demand, with sellers holding firm on pricing while buyers initially seek deeper discounts. Most deals eventually settle closer to asking, underscoring the resilience of well-located assets.
- Flight to Stability Is Evident: Ground leases with blue-chip tenants like McDonald’s and Chick-fil-A continue to command premium pricing, reflecting investor appetite for certainty and tax-advantaged wealth preservation.
- Market Opportunities Require Nuance: Sarasota, Wesley Chapel, and Orlando’s suburban corridors are growth hotspots. Meanwhile, data centers may be overhyped, while value-added retail remains attractive but hard to source.
- Patience Will Pay Off: Panelists stressed persistence, noting that slow markets often set the stage for bursts of deal activity. Owners were encouraged to address portfolio needs proactively rather than waiting on loan maturities.
- Social Media Is Driving Real-World Deals: From LinkedIn thought leadership to Instagram storytelling, brokers use digital platforms to generate calls, meetings, and deal flow. The focus is shifting from “likes” to meaningful offline engagement.
- Audience Definition Matters in CRE Branding: Successful social strategies hinge on knowing who you’re speaking to—CEOs, brokers, or local communities. Tailored content is proving more effective than one-size-fits-all messaging.
- Generational Spending Power Shapes Strategy: Boomers and Gen X still control most U.S. wealth, while Millennials and Gen Z drive demand for experiential and “enjoyment retail.” Landlords are curating tenant mixes to resonate across age groups.
Nicole Larson
Verity Mosquera
Anjee Solanki
